The past few years have seen pundits fretting over the future of the dollar, but it’s place has never been more secure.
Don’t look now, but the U.S. dollar is on a tear. Here’s Geoffrey Smith with the details:
The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the buck against six major western currencies but not against emerging market currencies such as China’s yuan, has risen 7.1% in the third quarter, its biggest quarterly rise since the 2008 market panic . . . the world’s premier reserve currency is also at seven-month highs against Brazil’s real and Mexico’s peso, and near a six-month high against India’s rupee. The only major trading partner it isn’t strengthening against is the yuan, partly because of weaker demand for commodities (which are priced in dollars) from a slowing Chinese industrials sector.
That’s right, despite the many warnings in recent years that Fed policies are destroying the value of the dollar, the greenback hasn’t been stronger since the financial crisis. As Smith points out, the short-term reasons for the dollar’s surge is clear: the Federal Reserve is winding down its bond buying program while Japan is still pumping reserves into its banking system and Europe